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27 Bailey Pl. Brampton, ON, L6Z 0C8, CANADA


Research interest

I am a theoretical/computational/mathematical/statistical disease modeller/analyst. I focus on human-related diseases (HIV, influenza) and some wildlife diseases (canine rabies), especially in forecasting epidemic outbreaks and retrospective analysis of the evolution of infectious diseases and intervention strategies and policies change for disease control. I work at the interface between statistics, disease ecology and mathematical epidemiology; developing new methods that appropriately account for uncertainties and link statistical summaries and estimates with meaningful ecological and epidemiological parameters; and analyzing the effect of policy change of disease control.


HB.Sc.,Statistics and Mathematics, University of Toronto: 2009-2013

M.Sc., Statistics, McMaster University, 2013-2015. Thesis: Incorporating Temporal Heterogeneity in Hidden Markov Models For Animal Movement. Supervisor: Dr. Ben Bolker

Ph.D., Biology, McMaster University, 2015-current. Supervisor: Dr. Ben Bolker, Dr. Jonathan Dushoff

Work experience

Teaching Assistant

McMaster University

  • Math 1F03 “Introduction to Calculus and Analytic Geometry” (fall 2014)

  • Bio 1M03 “Evology and Evolution” (fall 2015, 2016, 2017)

  • Stat 2MB3 “Statistical Methods and Applications” (winter 2014)

  • Stat 3J3Y “Probability and Statistics for Engineering” (fall 2013, 2014, winter 2014)

  • Bio 3SS3 “Population Ecology” (winter 2016, 2017, 2018)

Professional service


Research Data Centre (RDC) at McMaster

Ms. reviewer

For Journal of Animal Ecology and Movement Ecology.


Shi, C. F., Li, M., & Dushoff, J. (2017). Evidence that promotion of male circumcision did not lead to sexual risk compensation in prioritized Sub-Saharan countries. PloS one, 12(4), e0175928.

Champredon, D., Li, M., Bolker, B. M., & Dushoff, J. (2017). Two approaches to forecast Ebola synthetic epidemics. Epidemics.

Li, M., & Bolker, B. M. (2017). Incorporating periodic variability in hidden Markov models for animal movement. Movement ecology, 5(1), 1.